ELECTION NIGHT SURPRISES?
These election night predictions are courtesy of the Washington Post's "Topic A".
DICK MORRIS AND EILEEN MCGANN
Dick Morris advised Bill Clinton's 1996 reelection campaign and is a contributor to Fox News; Eileen McGann, a lawyer, is co-author with Morris of "Fleeced"
"It does not matter how wide or narrow the gap is between the two candidates. What matters is how far above or below 49 percent Obama is in the final polls (49 percent assumes that Ralph Nader gets 1 to 2 points as he did in 2004). Right now, Obama is straddling the 49 percent mark; about half the polls put him over it and half under it. If the final polling numbers indicate that Obama is not convincingly north of 49 percent, we are in for a long night."
JAMES CARVILLE
Manager of Bill Clinton's 1992 presidential campaign; CNN political contributor
Extraordinary youth turnout will surprise many, but it shouldn't. Young voters will vote overwhelmingly Democratic up and down the ballot in record numbers. As for a surprise on Tuesday, the combination of Ralph Nader and Bob Barr's votes will affect the outcome of the presidential election in one or more states.
HEATHER WILSON
Republican representative from New Mexico
Usually, the "undecideds" who show up in polling break pretty evenly when both candidates are well known. This year's "undecideds" are generally older, more rural, voted for Bush over Kerry, and they are concerned about Obama's inexperience and liberal views. The undecideds will break toward John McCain.
ED ROGERS
White House staffer to Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush; group chairman of BGR Holding
By all accounts McCain is behind but closing in on Obama, who appears to be stronger in the electoral college than in the popular vote. It's not pretty for McCain, but it's not over. Three ingredients could be mixing to create an explosive comeback for McCain. No. 1: buyer's remorse and resentment of the media forecast. Voters are being lectured that the election is over. This might cause them to have regrets about Obama and resent being told what they had already decided. No. 2: presumptuousness by the Obama camp. More than once they have shown a tendency to act like they have won, to assume that the Oval Office is already theirs. Voters resent this and may be itching to show their independence. No. 3: Obama fatigue and classic American support for the underdog. Voters notice the number of ads, phone calls and gushing accounts of the giant Obama machine. Maybe the good old US of A instinct to support the underdog is working to McCain's benefit.
MARY BETH CAHILL
Manager of Sen. John Kerry's presidential campaign and former chief of staff to Sen. Edward Kennedy
Smart incumbents are campaigning as though their lives depend on it. Tuesday night may well bring the defeat of long-serving politicians from heretofore safe districts and states. And it may be very late before we know the leadership and chairmen of the House and Senate.
ROBERT SHRUM
Senior adviser to the Gore and Kerry presidential campaigns; fellow at NYU's Wagner School of Public Service
Obama's decision to forego public funding has enabled his Internet-fueled campaign to compete in states where he has potential but otherwise would have been forced to write off. We know what they are; look at the advertising buys. McCain has to carry a whole string of states where he is behind or effectively tied; Obama has to win in just a few. He has many routes to victory, McCain just one. Don't be surprised if some place we never thought would go Democratic does. The Obama campaign has signaled that several could -- and in the process left the other side constantly on the defensive.
Do you have any election night predictions?
35 comments:
On a scale of degree of lies, Obama is a professional sociopathic lier (SL). Politics aside, Obama lied about getting public campaign financing--this is just the beginning. No one knows where he gets at least 1/3 of his money from, probably from people who deal with drugs. Also, he used his childhood history as a big promoting factor, whereas he didn't even visit his mother until after she died of cancer. He has never visited his aunt on his father's side. Now he made a show to have visited his grandmother for less than a day.If you watched Charlie Rose and the commentator David (I can't recall the last name), the entire time Obama was in the Senate, he was never there for any meeting or decision making. He was never around. He does not have a good reputation in the Senate. It's Obama's own party will get him on his sociopathic lies.
Obama will win although I do think it will be a tight close race, in all I have strong beliefs that he shall win it. To the person whom commented anonymous wake up and come back again another day with some proof to your accusations why do you accuse him of getting money from people that deal drugs, how pathetic. Obama 08 change to believe in, change we need!
this is a must read for people making their mind up or has willingness to open their eyes to the wolf in sheep's clothes
I feel Obama has plenty to hide if he didn't he wouldn't be hiding everything concerning him. He would be more than happy to say let everyone view the tape...
1. Obamas orginal birth certificate in question
2. Obamas university records he won't release.
3. Obama won't face Larry Sinclair on his charge of his most current drug use.
4. Obama won't say weather he engaged in Homosexual act with Larry Sinclair.
5. Obama said he wanted to create a cilivian national security force what does that mean.
http://www.citizenslim.com/ must view video
6. Obamas radical and dangerous people he has surrounded himself with.
7. Obamas radical church he attended for 20 years and didn't know they were like they were'
if he didn't know this how do you think he could run this country. If he does even know whats going on just around him.
8 His family ties are very questionable. Odingo in Africa
9 Throwing his own grandmother under the bus.
Closer look at Obama reveals he's wrong choice
J. Wesley Hertel
Posted: November 1, 2008Read Comments(99)Recommend (6)E-mail Print Share Del.icio.us Digg Reddit Yahoo Google A A I opened to the editorial pages of the Indianapolis Star on Thursday and read with nostalgic pride T. Garrott Benjamin's endorsement of Barack Obama for president. It brought to mind so many good memories of seminary days 40 years ago, when we were both young men at Christian Theological Seminary preparing for the ministry. Benjamin was a leader then in our seminary, and I watched with pride as he has become a leader in our community. Always, then as now, I have admired the way he has lifted up the Jesus as the "king of glory and the savior of the world."
I was not surprised that Benjamin would endorse Obama for president. He was an enthusiastic supporter of Robert Kennedy for president in 1968 in the days of riots and civil rights marches. It must be a mixture of pride and astonishment for Benjamin, that 40 years later, a black man is running and likely will become president of the United States. Thankfully, we have come a long way in a short time.
Early on in this political season, I, too, looked closely at Barack Obama. I was initially enamored with the possibility that he would become our president, and I supported him in the primary election. I was excited that he represented change and hope for a brighter tomorrow. He is easily the most charismatic and compelling political figure of my lifetime, and I remember John F. Kennedy.
But, with a second and deeper look, I have decided not to vote for Obama. I will vote for John McCain for president on Tuesday. Three things made my decision.
» Values. Obama can joke that when life begins is above his pay grade, but this is not rocket science. If you destroy the egg of a bald eagle, you can be fined. Why? Because everyone knows that egg is a potential bald eagle. There is something fundamentally wrong with a society that protects bald eagles and yet allows unborn babies to be burned and sucked from their mother's wombs. When Obama was an Illinois state legislator, he wouldn't even vote to protect a baby that lived after abortion. That's cold.
» Judgment. Obama has associated with the most radical people of our lifetime. Can you imagine the outcry if it were discovered that Sarah Palin attended a church with a racist pastor? There would be no end to the calls for her to stand down and return to Alaska in disgrace. Obama's list of radical friends doesn't end with Jeremiah Wright. He has chosen the most inflammatory people for his closest confidants so repeatedly that you have to call his judgment into question.
» You may vehemently disagree with President Bush about the war on terror and the strategy that he chose to pursue this conflict. But, he does recognize evil when he sees it. Obama doesn't recognize evil, when he is in the same room with it, and for that reason, alone, I hope he doesn't become our president Tuesday.
Vision. Obama is a man of vision. It's just the wrong vision for America. If he is not a socialist, then the word has lost its meaning. Jesus is our hope to change hearts. The change Obama seeks is not a change of heart. It is the authority of the state that arbitrarily takes from some to give to others. It creates a dependent people devoid of pride who believe only the government can help them. Ronald Reagan was right when he said, "A government that gives you everything you want can take everything you have."
This is not the change we've been waiting for, nor the change that would be good for America. Yes, Jesus is my hope, but McCain has my vote.
The democrats, obama and biden, have shown that they are very generous with money, as long as it doesn't come out of their own pockets. Democrats have a good plan though, buying votes from 1 group of people with the money earned by the taxpayers. And they aren't really interested in bringing up the poor, point being that a person who gets one of his tax credit checks for $1000.00 is not going to suddenly have a higher standard of living on $83.00 more a month. What we really need are jobs so people can earn their own way and have some self respect. Dems are only about power if it benefits their agenda. Example: Why does the ACLU go after every crazy cause around, but has done nothing about the democrat invasion of privacy of Joe the Plumber? Law abiding citizens unite. We are all in danger.
Conscience Vote Poll
I am conducing an Internet poll to measure voters' vote of conscience versus who they actually plan to vote for.
The results are very interesting so far. Add you voice to this research and view the results.
http://www.misterpoll.com/polls/363596
spread the message, get your friends to vote! Make sure they're near their phone ;) (its FREE to all Obama supporters)
http://www.yourcallforchange.com
I heard that Obama, may think to appoint McCain to a sec of Defense or state position. Not a bad idea- go across the aisle- heal the country and give pause to our enemies...The move would be unprecedented
I am co-ordinating of an association of women and known as has your wife to have a thought particuliere for the women same those which are in Haiti especially after the catastrophes that we all know and I come exactly from gonaives the area more touchee by the cyclones gustav, Hannah and Ike
I WANT TO KNOW WHY WE THE PEOPLE OF THE UNITED STATES ( INCLUDING ALL COLORS, RACES, AND BACKGROUNDS ) WOULD ELECT SOMEONE WHO ATTENDS OR ATTENDED A RACIALY BIASED CHURCH AND WOULD ATTEND AND PARTICIPATE IN FLAG BURNING CEREOMONIES. THESE ARE JUST A FEW PROBLEMS I HAVE WITH OUR UNFORTUNATE MISTAKE FOR ELECTING A PRESIDENT. I MAY BE WRONG BUT I WAS ALWAYS TAUGHT THAT RACISM IS NOT THE AMERICAN WAY AND YOU ABSOLUTLY DO NOT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES DESECRATE OUR AMERICAN FLAG, WHICH HE ADMITED TO. I BELEIVE ANY AMERICAN BORN CITIZEN SHOULD HAVE THE RIGHT TO BE OUR PRESIDENT, BUT SHOULD ALSO BE AN AMERICAN AND LOVE OUR COUNTRY NOT HATE IT. COLIN POWELL!! IT SHOULD HAVE BEEN YOU!!!!
if all you fucking white american go back to euope like the latino say obama will be way better off without ya , fuck white ppl, deep down he don't like any of ya white american go back to euope
YOUR AN IDIOT. NOBODY WAS TALKING TRASH BUT IF YOU WANT TO TALK ABOUT PEOPLE GOING HOME TAKE A SHIP BACK TO AFRICA WE WERE ALREADY HERE WHEN YOUR PEOPLE SOLD OFF THE TRASH TO AMERICA WE JUST PUT EM TO WORK
people be nice, i can say the person has a point about the flag burning and american values. i did not vote so its not for me to say. i did not like either one and i do think this country needed a new flovor in the white house and i do agree it should have been colin powell.
Oboma was raised by a WHITE FAMILY and his black daddy wasn't around. His grandparents raised him, their white. And he's only 1/2 black.
like i say on the last measee, why don't you fucking white ppl , go back to euope, i don't like white american, most ya is not but racism. we need a nergo state, so for all ya fucking white cracker go back to euope, this is not ya country the native was here first , the latino say ya need to go back to euope
ITS EUROPE YOU DUMB SHIT. WHY DON'T YOU GO BACK HOME. LEARN TO READ AND WRITE ENGLISH!!
i'm so sick of ties of seeing you , white cracker everyday, get the fuck out go back to euope, where all ya belone, black and latino this is are country now, not your cracker
Obama is the antichrist, read revelations!!! Thanks America, I can't wait to see how he F's it up.
I wanna hear Obama at volume of More than 100 of my Television.
Okay to the people saying Obama is the Anti christ and quoting the Bible and making racist remakrs this is for you: before you quote the word of God please know what you're talking about because if you read Revelation then the Bible tells us that the anti-christ will come durning the 7 years of tribulation, also he will come after the rapture, also while the temple is being built in Israel and none of those things are going on rightnow so get your facts straight. Thats the reason I'm very disappointed in white America christians for saling people that lie because the bible talks abouts about the things leading up to the anti-christ appearing so read read and study before you post and don't know what you're talking about. You need to just keep it real and say you don't like Obama because he's Black and he's going to YOUR president whether you like it our not so get use to it and stop complaining. Also if you wanna get into the Bible its a proven fact that if you read in Gen.9 that after God destroyed the world with the great flood the only people left on Earth was Noah's Family. Noah had 3 sons Shem, Japheth, and Ham. One day while Noah was drunk from wine his son who was Ham seen Noah while he was naked and Noah cursed him saying that he would be the servant of his other brothers, basically a slave. So God told Noahs 3 son to be fruitful and mulitply, so Noah told his 3 sons to go to different parts of the earth. Ham went to Africa which is in the land of Ca'naan. Thats why the blacks have been in slavery for years because God cursed generation to Generation. In the Bible God has Gave every race and culture of people a shot at being a super power in the earth and every race has failed. You had the Persians, Egyptians (who were black), Europeans which is Europe and America. Now God has come back to the Black race and now we have a shot again. Also if you wanna get back into the Bible its a proven fact that when Jesus was walking along the streets headed to the cross to die for our sins a Black man who was a slave helped jesus carrying the cross. What I'm getting at is YES we're in the last days but he's not the anti-christ. What if and this is a Proven Fact GOD started with the Black Man ruling earth we messed up so he gave the opportunity too other races they messed up now its our turn again and God may wanna come back to what he started with before he come back to take us thats how God works. I'm not a racist I love everybody and before you respond back with negative comments please do your research like I did. I'm a 28 year old BLACK man in the south and I think Obama will hold true to everything he's said. For one he has a lot to prove. By him becoming President it has opened up a lot of doors for my kids, now my little son can grow up and wanna be the president. Thats something I could never say I wanna be when I was growing up. Then the comment what you made about us getting back on the ship, If I can remember correctly we never asked to come here your ancestors came to our counrty and forced us to come to America to help build this great nation. Who do you think built the white house??? its only fitting that the same people that built it get to say in it oneday, once again thats how God works so read your BIBLE and read it to understand it before you make retarded comments. Also do your research on Obama how he was on Drugs and over came that, how he moved to an apartment in the middle of the hood to study sun up and sun down for two years to get to this point, how when he came to his wife Michelle and asked her should he run for prsident she said yes but told him to stop smoking, how he made the decision to stop smoking. I was told that at a lot of his speeches his aids had packs of nicorette gum waiting for him so the man was kicking his addiction to cigarettes at the same time he was getting bashed for not being American enough, the same time people were bashing him for knowing Ayers, and Rev. Wright this man kept his cool and handled his business he was flawless at it I admire him and if you can overcome his situations such as being raised by only his mother then we can do it to, so don;t hate the man strive to be like the man but always put God first, peace....
If I am correct his grandparents raised him. I am not racist, I don't care he is black, I care that he openly admits to participating in un-American acts such as flag burning which is the very simble of our great nation. As for the bible, I read it and if you ask me its discribes OBAMA to a T.
THE AFRICANS TRADED WITH THE ENGLISH BARTERING WITH THEIR OWN PEOPLE, THE PEOPLE THEY DID NOT WANT. YOUR ANCESTORS TRADED THEIR UNWANTED TO US FOR MATERIAL THINGS AND WE BROUGHT THEM BACK AND SOLD THEM, THATS IT. WE SIMPLY USED AN OPPERTUNITY FOR CHEAP LABOR. YOU DID IT TO YOURSELVES.
obama=antichrist?
Republicans=desperate.
Have you seen the Obama/Mc Cain Debate 2008 Menu video on Cookshow, the 1st communautary website sharing videos of cooking recipes?
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Hello my name is Merle Dean Shamblin and I would like to be your new friend. I sure could use somebody to chat with. I am a 47 year old long haul truck driver who currently lives in Duncan Oklahoma. Dec 8th 1960 I was born in Fairview Oklahoma. Moved to Caddo and Washita counties where I attended school at Colony Hydro and Weatherford. My parents Malvin and Wanda Shamblin were cotton and peanut farmers. Dad died in 99 from lung cancer. Graduated from SWOSU with a business degree. My two sisters are LaDonna Hubert and Malva Burrahm. Dennis is my brother. I have been a truck driver for 14 years and have driven 2 million paid miles. I have received many safe driving awards over the years. I am single and have never been married. I have a wide range of interests and am pretty much an open book. Currently I drive a 2006 Freightliner for a major carrier. I dont go to Canada very often. I dont have a dedicated route so I run the entire lower 48. I enjoy reading cinema music sports travel etc. I am gay and versatile.
http://www.obamatothewhitehouse.com/
I can't wait for Obama's inauguration!
Art 2 Inspire, Inc.
David Kohane, D.M.D.
140 East 52nd Street
Suite 2C
New York, NY 10022
January 19, 2009
Dear Friend,
A lack of faith in God and strife between individuals and nations diminishes everyone. When
we recognize God's Hand in our lives, respect our differences and work together for common
goals, Mankind can reach its highest potential. For this reason, I embarked on my mission to
foster spirituality and ecumenicism. I have been encouraged and helped by countless people
of different racial, religious, and socio-economic groups. I have made tremendous strides as
I continue to work to spread spirituality and unity to all people.
This past year has been devastating to the world. From the economic meltdown and the global
recession, to the latest terrorist massacre in Mumbai, the events of 2008 have shaken people to
the core. Like many others, I was overwhelmed by the enormity of events. I felt the flame of faith
within me getting weaker. To calm my anxiety, I sat down and wrote a personal prayer. Once
I had written it, I felt peace and clarity about facing life's increasing challenges. Writing my prayer,
"Time for Unprecedented Faith", reminded me that there is only one way to achieve inner
security-turning to God.
As its says in Psalm 121:
I Lift my eyes to the hills, where does my help come from?
My help comes from the Lord, the Maker of heaven and earth.
I hope and believe that the words of my prayer can be a source of strength and faith for all.
I have shared it with friends and acquaintances, and would like to share it with you also..
"Time for Unprecedented Faith"
Give your anger and pain to God and
God's strength will find you.
Celebrate life and all its blessings.
Learn to love, not hate.
Have hope, not despair.
Put your trust in God and His guidance
will give you purpose, and
spiritual fulfillment.
God, lead us with the pillars of love
and justice for everlasting peace.
I would like to share my prayer with it's message of love, hope, and trust in God
with President-elect Barack Obama and the American people at the Inauguration
on January 20. 2009. Please share the prayer "Time for Unprecedented Faith" with fellow
bloggers in this historical and remarkable time of hope.
Please email all comments to Kingdavid18@aol.com.
With heartfelt blessings and best wishes for a healthy and enlightening year,
David Kohane, D.M.D.
Founder and Chairman
Art 2 Inspire, Inc.
Welcome Mr President!
Excellent blog.Basketball play will keep fit health and mind with an aim
It is very happy to note that you are a great basket ball player. In the good old days you used to play basketball during basketball season "These days, we've become a culture of specialists and kids are concentrating on the same sport year-round."
A great basketball defense player is one who:
1. Moves quickly.
2. Has strength and stamina.
3. Trains throughout the year.
4. Has an in depth understanding of the game.
5. Is a communicator and team leader.
6. Studies the strengths and weaknesses of the opponent team before every game.
7. Is able to think on his feet and change strategy even mid-game should the need arise.
8. Is a listener and picks up clues as well as moves from others.
9. Plays strong-side and weak –side defense well
Wish you all luck to lead the country and world to peace and prosperity .
Finally, an easy way to answer the question "Did you ever think you'd live to see a Black President?"
http://www.cafepress.com/ineedthis
Toutes l'équipe d'okazcar tient à vous saluer
Cordialement
Okazcar
I predict Obama is the antichrist.
Thanks Obama for having terrible logic and an even worse staff. You truly are everything you said you weren't! I for one am very excited to see what the future brings. I'm sure it will be depression caused by your spending on failing companies and democratic contributors. While your living the good life having White House Parties with you favorite artists, my friends and family are unemployed and on the verge of losing everything they worked hard for. I wish I could take my vote back on black, but I cannot, and I must live with this mistake. Good Luck.
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